Pricing Real Options Contracts in Capacity Exchanges

Google Tech Talks October 20, 2006 ABSTRACT First talk (joint work with Dr. Shijie Deng of GT) is a theory piece where we propose to create industrial exchanges for capacity trading via options contracts. In a continuous-time setting, we study the pricing of tradable capacity options contracts in business-to-business (B2B) exchanges in a variety of industries such as contract manufacturing, semiconductor (e.g. memory chips), oil and gas, electric power or commodity chemicals. The contract takes the form of European call option that specifies a premium price and a strike price. We show that the real options pricing formula is a modified Black-Merton-Scholes pricing formula and is equivalent to the...